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Discussion 5 to Talk Back 73
On probabilities

by: Will Petillo

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As I see it, there are two ways of looking at the point you bring up here and both of them make looking at a/theism as a 50/50 proposition valid.

  1. There are only 2 explanations: "God created the universe" and "No God created the universe."
  2. There are an infinite number of possible explanations for the existence of the universe that do not involve God.  There are also an infinite number of explanations that involve some god, any god. 

In either case, the probability remains at 50/50.  True, claims about a particular version of God made by a particular religion are highly unlikely (using this kind of reasoning), but the general question of "does God exist?" must include every possible entity that could be called a "god"--of which there are infinite.